منابع مشابه
Predicting Tropical Cyclone Genesis
The long-term goal of this project is to provide probabilistic genesis forecast guidance to operational forecasters and develop a genesis index to provide guidance for operational dynamical model prediction of tropical cyclone (TC) genesis. Once regions of high TC genesis probability are identified, a movable, multi-nested version of the COAMPS with resolution of roughly 3 km or less in the inn...
متن کاملTropical Cyclone Eye Thermodynamics
In intense tropical cyclones, sea level pressures at the center are 50–100 hPa lower than outside the vortex, but only 10–30 hPa of the total pressure fall occurs inside the eye between the eyewall and the center. Warming by dry subsidence accounts for this fraction of the total hydrostatic pressure fall. Convection in the eyewall causes the warming by doing work on the eye to force the thermal...
متن کاملTropical Cyclone Predictability
The scientific objectives of the effort are to apply several techniques developed within the program, including Monte Carlo ensemble approaches, techniques adapted from non-linear systems analysis and optimal combinations of forecasting approaches to estimating the intrinsic limits to predictability for (i) tropical cyclone mean forecast position errors in the first instance, and (ii) to tropic...
متن کاملEvolution of Tropical Cyclone Characteristics
The long-term goals are to understand how variabilities in the large-scale atmospheric environment and the internal tropical cyclone structure influence tropical cyclone track and intensity characteristics and define how these influences differ between developing, mature, and decaying tropical cyclones. During the initial stages of tropical cyclone development, structure and track characteristi...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Coastal Engineering Proceedings
سال: 1986
ISSN: 2156-1028,0589-087X
DOI: 10.9753/icce.v20.56